****Cleveland -3 vs. Cincinnati, take Cleveland -3
***Cleveland vs. Cincinnati line is 43.5, take over
***Indianapolis -7 vs. Houston, take Indianapolis -7
** Tampa Bay -6 vs. San Francisco, take Tampa Bay -6
Saturday, December 22, 2007
12-16-07 N.F.L. Results
12-16-07 N.F.L. Picks
*** Tennessee -4 vs. Kansas City, take Tennessee -4, WON final score 26-17
*** Baltimore -4 vs. Miami, take Baltimore -4, LOST and I'm a big Ravens fan, 16-22
** Indy -11 vs. Oakland, take Indy -11, LOST, final score 21-14
** Seattle -8 vs. Carolina, take Seattle -8, LOST 10-13
Total Profit:+$270
Thursday, December 13, 2007
12-16-07 N.F.L. Picks
*** Tennessee -4 vs. Kansas City, take Tennessee -4
*** Baltimore -4 vs. Miami, take Baltimore -4
** Indy -11 vs. Oakland, take Indy -11
** Seattle -8 vs. Carolina, take Seattle -8
*** Baltimore -4 vs. Miami, take Baltimore -4
** Indy -11 vs. Oakland, take Indy -11
** Seattle -8 vs. Carolina, take Seattle -8
Monday, December 10, 2007
12-09-07 N.F.L. Results
12-09-07 Picks
*** San Diego -2 vs. Tennessee, take San Diego -2 (Sorry V. Young, still my favorite N.F.L. Player) WON, 23-17 in O.T.
*** Cleveland -3.5 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Cleveland -3.5, WON, 24-18
*** Minnesota -9 vs. San Francisco, take Minnesota -9, WON, 27-7
**Pittsburgh vs. New England, take over 47.5, LOST, total points scored 47
** Tampa Bay -3 vs. Houston, take Tampa Bay -3, LOST, 14-28
Total Profit/Loss on 12-09-07 =+$92
Total Profit for the season = +$364
Sunday, December 9, 2007
12-09-07 Picks
*** San Diego -2 vs. Tennessee, take San Diego -2 (Sorry V. Young, still my favorite N.F.L. Player)
*** Cleveland -3.5 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Cleveland -3.5
*** Minnesota -9 vs. San Francisco, take Minnesota -9
**Pittsburgh vs. New England, take over 47.5
** Tampa Bay -3 vs. Houston, take Tampa Bay -3
*** Cleveland -3.5 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Cleveland -3.5
*** Minnesota -9 vs. San Francisco, take Minnesota -9
**Pittsburgh vs. New England, take over 47.5
** Tampa Bay -3 vs. Houston, take Tampa Bay -3
12-02-07 Results
****San Diego vs Kansas City, line is 37, take over, LOST, total points 34
***San Diego -6.5 vs. Kansas City, take San Diego -6.5, WON, 24-10
***St. Louis -3.5 vs. Atlanta, take St. Louis -3.5, WON, 28-16
***N.Y. Jets vs. Miami, line is 37.5, take over, WON, total points 53
**Denver -4 vs. Oakland, take Denver -4, LOST, Oakland 34-20
Total win/loss for 12-02-07= +$48
Season total win/loss= +$272
***San Diego -6.5 vs. Kansas City, take San Diego -6.5, WON, 24-10
***St. Louis -3.5 vs. Atlanta, take St. Louis -3.5, WON, 28-16
***N.Y. Jets vs. Miami, line is 37.5, take over, WON, total points 53
**Denver -4 vs. Oakland, take Denver -4, LOST, Oakland 34-20
Total win/loss for 12-02-07= +$48
Season total win/loss= +$272
Saturday, December 1, 2007
12-2-07 N.F.L. Picks
****San Diego vs Kansas City, line is 37, take over
***San Diego -6.5 vs. Kansas City, take San Diego -6.5
***St. Louis -3.5 vs. Atlanta, take St. Louis -3.5
***N.Y. Jets vs. Miami, line is 37.5, take over
**Denver -4 vs. Oakland, take Denver -4
I was told Vegas was no longer accepting bets on the Pats vs. Eagles game so I will not count that in my totals.
11-25-07 Results:
***Cleveland -3.5 vs. Houston, take Cleveland -3.5, WON 27-17
*** Seattle -3 vs. St. Louis, take Seattle -3 WON 24-19
** Tennessee -2 vs. Cincinnati, take Tennessee -2 LOST, Cincinnati 35-6
Total won for week: +$76
This season: +$224
***San Diego -6.5 vs. Kansas City, take San Diego -6.5
***St. Louis -3.5 vs. Atlanta, take St. Louis -3.5
***N.Y. Jets vs. Miami, line is 37.5, take over
**Denver -4 vs. Oakland, take Denver -4
I was told Vegas was no longer accepting bets on the Pats vs. Eagles game so I will not count that in my totals.
11-25-07 Results:
***Cleveland -3.5 vs. Houston, take Cleveland -3.5, WON 27-17
*** Seattle -3 vs. St. Louis, take Seattle -3 WON 24-19
** Tennessee -2 vs. Cincinnati, take Tennessee -2 LOST, Cincinnati 35-6
Total won for week: +$76
This season: +$224
Sunday, November 25, 2007
11-25-07 N.F.L. Picks
***** New England -25 vs. Philadelphia, Donovan McNabb is out for this game (ankle injury)
***Cleveland -3.5 vs. Houston, take Cleveland -3.5
*** Seattle -3 vs. St. Louis, take Seattle -3
** Tennessee -2 vs. Cincinnati, take Tennessee -2
***Cleveland -3.5 vs. Houston, take Cleveland -3.5
*** Seattle -3 vs. St. Louis, take Seattle -3
** Tennessee -2 vs. Cincinnati, take Tennessee -2
11-18-07 N.F.L. Results
Perhaps I was correct that the Steelers are not an elite team. Everyone raves about how good the Steelers are. I thought they were good enough to beat the Jets though. Patriots expand to 9-1 against the spread. I think the Pats will go 19-0 and just win every game in the regular season and win another Super Bowl. The best team by far I have ever seen.
Results:
***** New England -16.5 vs. Buffalo,took N.E. -16.5 and WON final score 56-10
**** Pittsburgh vs. N.Y. Jets, line is 40 took over and LOST, total points scored 35
** St. Louis -3.5 vs. San Francisco, took St. Louis -3.5 and WON final score 13-9
** Pittsburgh -10 vs. N.Y. Jets, took Pittsburgh -10 and LOST final score N.Y. Jets 19-16OT
Net win/loss on 11-18-07 +$8
Net win/loss on season +$148
Results:
***** New England -16.5 vs. Buffalo,took N.E. -16.5 and WON final score 56-10
**** Pittsburgh vs. N.Y. Jets, line is 40 took over and LOST, total points scored 35
** St. Louis -3.5 vs. San Francisco, took St. Louis -3.5 and WON final score 13-9
** Pittsburgh -10 vs. N.Y. Jets, took Pittsburgh -10 and LOST final score N.Y. Jets 19-16OT
Net win/loss on 11-18-07 +$8
Net win/loss on season +$148
Sunday, November 18, 2007
11-18-07 Picks
I have been very busy all week and attended the U of M vs. Ohio State game yesterday and slept the second I got home. I had no time this morning to make picks because I went to brunch for my Mom's Birthday. I do have a few games to pick that start at 4pm so here they are.
***** New England -16.5 vs. Buffalo, take New England -16.5
**** Pittsburgh vs. N.Y. Jets, line is 40, take over 40 points.
** St. Louis -3.5 vs. San Francisco, take St. Louis -3.5
** Pittsburgh -10 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Pittsburgh -10
***** New England -16.5 vs. Buffalo, take New England -16.5
**** Pittsburgh vs. N.Y. Jets, line is 40, take over 40 points.
** St. Louis -3.5 vs. San Francisco, take St. Louis -3.5
** Pittsburgh -10 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Pittsburgh -10
11-11-07 N.F.L. Results
**** Indy-4 vs. San Diego LOST, Peyton Manning 6 Interceptions Final score 23-20 San Diego
*** Detroit +1.5 vs. Arizona LOST, Final score Arizona 31-21
*** Buffalo -3 vs. Miami PUSHED, Final score Buffalo 13 -10
** Minnesota vs. Green Bay, took over 40.5, LOST, total points scored was 34
** Dallas -2.5 vs. N.Y. Giants, WON, Dallas 31-20
** St. Louis vs. New Orleans, took over 46.5, WON total points scored was 66
Total loss on the day $118
Total win/loss on the season +$140
*** Detroit +1.5 vs. Arizona LOST, Final score Arizona 31-21
*** Buffalo -3 vs. Miami PUSHED, Final score Buffalo 13 -10
** Minnesota vs. Green Bay, took over 40.5, LOST, total points scored was 34
** Dallas -2.5 vs. N.Y. Giants, WON, Dallas 31-20
** St. Louis vs. New Orleans, took over 46.5, WON total points scored was 66
Total loss on the day $118
Total win/loss on the season +$140
Friday, November 9, 2007
Sunday 11-11-07 N.F.L. Picks
Seems like a ton of interesting match ups this weekend.
**** Indianapolis -4 vs. San Diego. Take Indy -4
*** Detroit +1.5 vs. Arizona. Take Detroit +1.5
*** Buffalo -3 vs. Miami. Take Buffalo -3
** Minnesota vs. Green Bay line is 40.5. Take over
** Dallas -2.5 vs. N.Y. Giants. Take Dallas -2.5
** St. Louis vs. New Orleans line is 46.5. Take over
**** Indianapolis -4 vs. San Diego. Take Indy -4
*** Detroit +1.5 vs. Arizona. Take Detroit +1.5
*** Buffalo -3 vs. Miami. Take Buffalo -3
** Minnesota vs. Green Bay line is 40.5. Take over
** Dallas -2.5 vs. N.Y. Giants. Take Dallas -2.5
** St. Louis vs. New Orleans line is 46.5. Take over
Monday, November 5, 2007
11-4-07 NFL Results
** Tampa Bay vs. Arizona, WON, Final score Tampa Bay 17 Arizona 10
** Washington vs. N.Y. Jets, LOST, final score Washington 23 N.Y. Jets 20 in OT
*** Green Bay vs. Kansas city, WON final score Green Bay 33 Kansas City 22
** New England vs. Indy, LOST final score N.E. 24 Indy 20
*** San Diego vs. Minnesota, LOST final score Minnesota 35 San Diego 17
*** Dallas vs. Philadelphia, WON final score Dallas 38 Philadelphia 17
** San Diego vs. Minnesota over 41.5, WON, total points 52
Total win +$46
Total money won during this project +$258
Opinions and Notes: I like the Washington bet despite the outcome. The only reason the Packers were a dog was because Favre has never beaten K.C. and regret not betting 4 stars. I also regret not taking under 56.5 on the New England vs. Indy game. I wanted to amend my picks and make the Dallas game a 5star game because I felt so strong about Dallas winning.
** Washington vs. N.Y. Jets, LOST, final score Washington 23 N.Y. Jets 20 in OT
*** Green Bay vs. Kansas city, WON final score Green Bay 33 Kansas City 22
** New England vs. Indy, LOST final score N.E. 24 Indy 20
*** San Diego vs. Minnesota, LOST final score Minnesota 35 San Diego 17
*** Dallas vs. Philadelphia, WON final score Dallas 38 Philadelphia 17
** San Diego vs. Minnesota over 41.5, WON, total points 52
Total win +$46
Total money won during this project +$258
Opinions and Notes: I like the Washington bet despite the outcome. The only reason the Packers were a dog was because Favre has never beaten K.C. and regret not betting 4 stars. I also regret not taking under 56.5 on the New England vs. Indy game. I wanted to amend my picks and make the Dallas game a 5star game because I felt so strong about Dallas winning.
Saturday, November 3, 2007
Sunday 11-4-07 NFL picks
** Tampa Bay -3.5 vs. Arizona, take Tampa Bay -3.5
** Washington -4 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Washington -4
*** Green Bay +2 vs. Kansas City, take Green Bay +2
** New England -6 vs. Indy, take New England -6
*** San Diego -7 vs. Minnesota, take San Diego -7
*** Dallas -3 vs. Philadelphia, take Dallas -3
** San Diego vs Minnesota line is 41.5, take over 41.5
** Washington -4 vs. N.Y. Jets, take Washington -4
*** Green Bay +2 vs. Kansas City, take Green Bay +2
** New England -6 vs. Indy, take New England -6
*** San Diego -7 vs. Minnesota, take San Diego -7
*** Dallas -3 vs. Philadelphia, take Dallas -3
** San Diego vs Minnesota line is 41.5, take over 41.5
Sunday, October 28, 2007
Sunday 10-28-07 Results
I had a great day of picks in the games today. Sadly the Dolphins scored a Touchdown with only like 2 minutes left to screw me over. With about 9 minutes neither the Colts or Panthers could score a Touchdown for me to win the over. Nevertheless a fantastic day of winning picks. Games I bet on are in previous post.
** Indy -7 vs. Carolina, WON, final score Indy 31 and Carolina 7
*** New Orleans -3 vs. San Francisco, WON, final score New Orleans 31 and San Francisco 10
*** Cleveland -3 vs. St. Louis, WON, final score Cleveland 27 and St. Louis 20
** N.Y. Giants -9.5 vs. Miami, LOST, final score N.Y. Giants 13 and Miami 10
** New England -17 vs. Washington, WON, final score New England 52 and Washington 7
*** New England vs. Washington line 47.5, WON, I took the over, total points 59
** Indy vs. Carolina line 44.5, LOST, I took over, total points 38
** San Diego -9.5 vs. Houston, WON, final score San Diego 35 and Houston 10
Total Won after paying a 10% VIC on losses is +$212
** Indy -7 vs. Carolina, WON, final score Indy 31 and Carolina 7
*** New Orleans -3 vs. San Francisco, WON, final score New Orleans 31 and San Francisco 10
*** Cleveland -3 vs. St. Louis, WON, final score Cleveland 27 and St. Louis 20
** N.Y. Giants -9.5 vs. Miami, LOST, final score N.Y. Giants 13 and Miami 10
** New England -17 vs. Washington, WON, final score New England 52 and Washington 7
*** New England vs. Washington line 47.5, WON, I took the over, total points 59
** Indy vs. Carolina line 44.5, LOST, I took over, total points 38
** San Diego -9.5 vs. Houston, WON, final score San Diego 35 and Houston 10
Total Won after paying a 10% VIC on losses is +$212
Sunday NFL Picks
** Indy vs. Carolina, take Indy -7
*** New Orleans vs. San Francisco, take New Orleans -3
*** Cleveland vs. St. Louis, take Cleveland -3
** N.Y. Giants vs. Miami, take N.Y. Giants -9.5
** New England vs. Washington, take New England -17
*** New England vs. Washington, take over 47.5
** Indy vs. Carolina, take over 44.5
** San Diego vs. Houston, take San Diego -9.5
*** New Orleans vs. San Francisco, take New Orleans -3
*** Cleveland vs. St. Louis, take Cleveland -3
** N.Y. Giants vs. Miami, take N.Y. Giants -9.5
** New England vs. Washington, take New England -17
*** New England vs. Washington, take over 47.5
** Indy vs. Carolina, take over 44.5
** San Diego vs. Houston, take San Diego -9.5
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Intro
As a recreational sports bettor I have decided to focus more time and energy into betting. I have created a bankroll system and point value system dependent on certain games. I have created a simple, easy to follow system. This system has a less than 2% of losing all the money. I have decided to post my picks in this blog for everyone to see. If I have a fantastic winning season then it's documented by time and date online.
The system:
I'm going to use a star system and give certain games more stars if I feel they are better games to bet on. For easy Math in this example I will use a $1,000 bankroll that is money I'm prepared to lose. This money shouldn't be rent, food money, etc. Each star will represent $20. Every game I lose I will be charged a 10% VIC (the VIC is how bookies - sports books make their money, every game a bettor loses he/she pays the bookie an extra 10% of the amount they wagered). For example if I bet $100 on a game and lost then I owe the bookie $110. The VIC only applies to games lost and the bookie never has to pay an extra 10% to the bettor.
Who am I?
I'm a 23 year old college student (taking a leave of absence) that plays online poker for a living and will probably never attend another college class. There is far too much money to be made in Poker compared to a job even with a college degree. I have bet sports for several years with no level of seriousness. There is extreme variance in sports betting and I don't claim to be a betting prodigy so gamble at your own risk. My ego has lead me to use my free time to analyze games. I need to go check the games for today.
The system:
I'm going to use a star system and give certain games more stars if I feel they are better games to bet on. For easy Math in this example I will use a $1,000 bankroll that is money I'm prepared to lose. This money shouldn't be rent, food money, etc. Each star will represent $20. Every game I lose I will be charged a 10% VIC (the VIC is how bookies - sports books make their money, every game a bettor loses he/she pays the bookie an extra 10% of the amount they wagered). For example if I bet $100 on a game and lost then I owe the bookie $110. The VIC only applies to games lost and the bookie never has to pay an extra 10% to the bettor.
Who am I?
I'm a 23 year old college student (taking a leave of absence) that plays online poker for a living and will probably never attend another college class. There is far too much money to be made in Poker compared to a job even with a college degree. I have bet sports for several years with no level of seriousness. There is extreme variance in sports betting and I don't claim to be a betting prodigy so gamble at your own risk. My ego has lead me to use my free time to analyze games. I need to go check the games for today.
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